Probabilities

PAR Sheets, probabilities, and slot machine play ...

PAR Sheets, probabilities, and slot machine... 81 Journal of Gambling Issues : Issue 23, June 2009 http://www.camh. net/egambling/issue23/pdfs/06harrigan.pdf PAR Sheets, probabilities, and slot machine play: Implications for problem and non-problem gambling Kevin A. Harrigan and Mike ...

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Bond Prices, Default Probabilities and Risk Premiums1

Bond Prices, Default Probabilities and Risk Premiums 1 John Hull, Mirela Predescu, and Alan White A feature of credit markets is the large difference between probabilities of default calculated from historical data and probabilities of default implied from bond prices (or from credit default swaps).

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Wind Speed and Intensity Probabilities - Michael J. Brennan

Wind Speed and Intensity Probabilities . Michael J. Brennan National Hurricane Center 2011 National Hurricane Conference Evacuation Decision Making Workshop

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Personal probabilities of probabilities

JACOB MARSCHAK AND OTHERS PERSONAL PROBABILITIES OF PROBABILITIES ABS'rRACT By definition, the subjective probability distribution of a random event is revealed by the ('rational') subject's choice between bets - a view expressed by F. Ram-sey, B. De Finetti, L. J. Savage and traceable to E ...

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Conceptual Approaches to Probability

A Method for Eliciting Subjective Probabilities: 1. Rank orders the states of nature S j in terms of their likelihood of occurrence. (Ties are allowed and should be denoted by placing tied states [ S k, S l, etc.] at the same level in the list.)

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The Binomial Probability Distribution - MATH 130, Elements of ...

Table IIsummarizes the cases ofn=2; 3;:::; 12; 15; 20. The binomial probabilities forp=0: 01; 0: 05; 0: 10;:::; 0: 95 are listed. J. Robert Buchanan The BinomialProbability Distribution

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Ambiguous probabilities and the paradoxes of expected utility

Ambiguous probabilities and the paradoxes of expected utility Chapter written for G. Wright and P. Ayton (Eds.) Subjective probability . Chichester, Sussex: Wiley, 1994.

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SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY

2 4.5 Variance, 73 4.6 ALawofLarge Numbers, 75 4.7 Supplements, 76 5(a) Updating on Statistics, 79 5.1 WheredoProbabilities Come From?, 79 5.1.1 Probabilities from Statistics: Minimalism, 80 5.1.2 Probabilities from Statistics: Exchangeability, 81 5.1.3 Exchangeability: Urn Exaples, 82 5.1.4 ...

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PREDICTED AND PERCEIVED PROBABILITIES OF GETTING HIV/AIDS ...

PREDICTED AND PERCEIVED PROBABILITIES OF GETTING HIV/AIDS: ARE PEOPLE AWARE OF DANGER? Jeronimo O. Muniz INTRODUCTION 1 From a behavioral perspective, there are two groups of people who can get

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Mutual and Shared Neighbor Probabilities: Finite- and ...

Mutual and Shared Neighbor Probabilities: Finite- and Infinite-Dimensional Results Author(s): M. F. Schilling Source: Advances in Applied Probability, Vol. 18, No. 2 (Jun., 1986), pp. 388-405 Published by: Applied Probability Trust Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1427305 Accessed: 27/01 ...

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